Core conclusion: SanDisk announced on September 5, 2025Omni-channel, all-consumer NAND flash memory products generally rose by more than 10%, new orders will be executed immediately and signed contracts will not be traced back. This is its second major price adjustment this year (it had already increased by 10% in April).This price increase marks the official reversal of the NAND flash memory cycle, with Micron and Samsung following suit simultaneously.AI + data center demand explodes + supply tightensBecome a core driver.
1. Core information of SanDisk price increase
1. Price adjustment details
- time: Effective from September 5, 2025,Applies to new orders only
- range:Omni-channel access + all consumer NAND products(SSD, USB flash drive, memory card, etc.)
- Amplitude:10% and above, some high-capacity models have higher increases
- Follow-up: willEvaluate prices regularly, there may be further adjustments in the coming quarters.
2. Official reason for price increase
- demand side: AI applications, data centers, clients, mobile terminalsStrong growth in storage demand
- Supply side: Industrial supply and demand are tightening,Capacity utilization has not fully recovered(Joint venture with Kioxia)
- Cost side: Tariffs and other factors push up operating costs, which need to be protectedHigh-performance solution supply and innovation investment
3. Financial and production capacity background
- Q2 revenue in 2025 **+12.2% QoQ** to US$1.9 billion, benefiting from channel price recovery and inventory replenishment
- Joint venture with KioxiaCapacity utilization has not reached full capacity, supply-side elasticity is limited
- The enterprise-level SSD market penetration rate is low.AI server/data center layout lags behind Samsung and Micron
2. Industry linkage: major storage manufacturers collectively increase prices, confirming cycle reversal
1. Synchronous price adjustments by major manufacturers (September 2025)
- Micron: Suspend DDR4/DDR5/LPDDR quotation and resumeRise 20%-30%
- Samsung: Q4 planned DRAM**+15%-30%、NAND+5%-10%, andDouble supply of NVIDIA GDDR7**
- market data:
- Q3 NAND Price Index **+5%, the single month of September+4.7%;DRAM Q3+19.2%, September+2.6%**
- In September, NAND’s growth surpassed that of DRAM.Short-term supply and demand gap appears
2. Core logic of supply and demand reversal
Demand side: AI + data center detonates high-capacity storage
- North American cloud service providerDozens of EB-level 16TB+ eSSD urgent ordersCentralized release, domestic Internet manufacturers follow up simultaneously
- 64TB+ QLC NANDAccelerating the replacement of HDD, demand for QLC surges
- Mobile phone stocking during peak season + increasing demand for on-device AI storage,Consumer-grade NAND is gaining popularity simultaneously
Supply side: Original factory is profit-oriented and production capacity shrinks
- Samsung, SK Hynix, Kioxia, etc.Strictly control wafer release, slow down capital expenditure
- Advanced production capacityHBM/GDDR7High-margin products are tilted,General NAND supply tightens
- SanDisk/KioXia, Western Digital, etc.Capacity utilization is low, supply elasticity is insufficient
3. Market Impact and Trend Outlook
1. Industry chain transmission
- upstream:NAND wafer, main control chipPrices rise simultaneously, domestic main controllers (such as Miaocun ATM102) benefit from
- midstream: Module factory, brand ownerGross profit margin improvement, but need to absorb cost pressure
- downstream: Consumer electronics (mobile phones, PCs), data centersRising costs, the terminal price may be raised
2. Domestic substitution opportunities
- Yangtze River Storage: 232-layer 3D NAND improves yield and enters mainstream supply chain
- Miaocun Technology:PublishQLC NAND UFS 2.2, self-developed main controller, covering 128GB–512GB, planning 1TB/2TB
- During the storage price increase cycle,Domestic storage share accelerates increase, module/brand factory welcomes development window
3. Price trend prediction
- Short term (Q4 2025):NAND priceContinued upward trend, eSSD increase10%+,Mobile NAND**+5%-10%**
- Mid-term (2026): The price increase trend continues,AI computing power demand + supply rigiditySupport price highs
- key variables: The pace of original factory capacity release, AI server shipments, geopolitics and tariff policies
4. Summary
SanDisk’s 10%+ price increase is a reversal of the NAND flash cycleclear signal, the explosion of demand for AI and data centers and the active contraction of the supply side have jointly pushed prices upward.Entering the storage industryAI computing power + automotive electronics + storage price increaseTriple drive cycle, domestic storage manufacturers are ushering inReplacement acceleration + profitability improvementgolden window period.