Global semiconductor sales in October
AI driven + geo-disturbanceThe following shows severe structural differentiation:
Storage prices are rising across the board, the Nexperia incident triggered panic stocking of automotive discrete devices, and domestic substitution is accelerating.
The Chuangxin Index data clearly reflects:
Supply chain security>PriceBecome the first priority in the industry.
1. Overview of the core market in October
- AI dominates storage supercycle: DRAM, NAND, and NOR Flash have surged simultaneously, and expectations for price increases in Q4 have strengthened.
- Anshi incident impacts global supply chain: Automobile-grade discrete devices and logic chips are out of stock + prices are rising, and demand for replacements is exploding
- Industry K-shaped differentiation: AI/automotive specifications/storage are hot, consumer electronics and general MCU demand is weakening
- Domestic substitution speeds up:Mergers and acquisitions, intensive launch of new products, extending to high-end and upstream
2. Popular Categories & Brands: Anshi stands out, while the rest generally cool down
1. Top 10 popular categories (comparison)
- Microcontroller (MCU):-36.71%
- MOSFET:-25.63%
- Op amp:-34.11%
- Rectifier:+0.05%
- DC-DC:-32.97%
- Linear regulator:-32.38%
- General Bipolar Transistor:+37.16%
- Flash Flash memory:-32.03%
- FPGA:-4.41%
- ADC:-39.43%
onlyRectifiers, transistors, MOSFETsThe strong performance against the trend is directly related to Nexperia automotive-grade devices.
2. Popular brands TOP10 (comparison)
- TI:-27.25%
- ADI:-34.76%
- ON Semiconductor:-23.17%
- ST:-33.68%
- Microchip:-35.22%
- Nexperia: +206.22%
- Infineon:-30.42%
- NXP:-3.19%
- Diodes:-16.73%
- Vishay:-30.29%
AnshihuanbiSkyrocketed 206%, became the only super hot spot in October, while other brands cooled down across the board.
3. Hot search TOP50: Anshi dominates the list, followed by storage
The list pattern in October has been completely rewritten:
- An influx of materials from the An family: The proportion of diodes, ESD, MOSFET, and logic ICs has increased significantly
- Storage keeps heat high: Winbond NOR Flash, Samsung eMMC, and Micron DRAM continue to be on the list
- General-purpose MCU and analog proportions are compressed: Affected by holidays and weakening demand
Representatives of core hot searches:
- STM32F103C8T6、W25Q128JVSIQ、BAV99、ICM-42688-P、KLM8G1GETF-B041
- Anshi: PESD1LIN, PESD2IVN24-TR, BSS84AK, 2N7002BK
4. Search surge TOP20: 100% focused on Nexperia automotive-grade devices
October’s soaring list was almostAnshi Automotive Specification MaterialsCovered:
- Vehicle ESD: PESD1LIN, PESD2IVN24-TR
- Automotive MOSFET: BUK7K6R8-40E, BSS84AK
- Automotive Diodes/Logic/Transistors: BAS316, BAS321, 74LVC1G08GW
- Substitute materials explode simultaneously: the popularity of Diodes and ON Semiconductor-related models jumps simultaneously
Typical characteristics of panic stocking:Priority will be given to car specifications and difficult-to-substitute models first.。
5. Inventory increase and decrease list: Nexperia passively replenishes inventory, while high-end simulation continues to destock.
Inventory growth list (almost all Anshi)
- BAS16J-QX
- BC817-40-Q
- BC817-25-Q
- BZX84-C18-Q
- BC856B-Q
Channels panicked to replenish their inventories, and short-term inventories surged.
Inventory reduction list (high-end simulation, interface, car specifications)
- AD5412AREZ
- TPSM82912RDUR
- PBSS4330PAS
- Marvell 88Q series
There is a real shortage and inventories continue to bottom out.
6. Summary of supply and demand of the entire industry chain in October
1. Nexperia: A major earthquake in the automotive supply chain
- Diodes, MOSFETs, ESD, logic ICsTight supply + soaring prices
- High premiums appear on car-spec models, and demand for replacements explodes
- ON Semiconductor, Diodes, Infineon, Silan Micro, Yangjie, New Clean Energy, etc. can quickly undertake replacements
2. Memory: AI-driven, fully entering the seller’s market
- DDR4 continues to surge, DDR5 surges simultaneously, Samsung suspends quotation
- NAND continues to be bullish in Q4 driven by enterprise SSD
- NOR Flash enters the price increase channel, and Winbond maintains high prosperity
3. Passive components: Tantalum capacitor prices increase, MLCC differentiates
- KEMET’s second round of tantalum capacitor price increases starting in November20%–30%
- AI demand expands supply-demand gap
- MLCC PresentsStrong in high-end, weak in consumptionPattern
4. General IC: Consumption is weak and prices are expected to rise.
- ADI releases price adjustment signal
- Demand for TI and ST consumer-grade MCUs weakens
- Industry and automobiles are relatively stable, but recovery is slowing
7. Conclusion and purchasing suggestions
October isConcentrated release of supply chain risksa month of:
- The Anshi incident proves that automotive discrete components are the weakest link in the supply chain
- The storage super cycle is established, and price increases will continue until at least the first half of 2026
- The industry is completely divided into K-types:AI/automotive specifications/storage is strong, consumer electronics is weak
Procurement strategy:
- Vehicle-grade devices: completed as soon as possibleSecondary supply / third supply certification, lock long order
- Storage: Prepare goods on demand, accept high prices, and prioritize core material numbers.
- General devices: mainly wait and see, avoid high-level stocking